Selasa, 17 Februari 2015

There’s No “Holy Grail” Indicator

Traders are constantly searching for the indicator that will make them rich, but trader Rob Hoffman warns that indicators work differently for every trader and mustn't be used as a crutch.
Traders always seem to be looking for the next hot indicator or the indicator that’s going to make them millions of dollars and be able to use that forever and ever on any kind of market, but is that the reality? 
Our guest today is Rob Hoffman; he’s here to talk about that. Rob, should I rely or go out and try to find the best indicator to use and continually use that? What’s the best way to deal with so many that are out there?
You know Tim, I went through that for years, looking for the magic bullet, the secret, the “Holy Grail.” While I found a lot of indicators that seemed to work a lot of the time, what I really found in the end is that it’s not just indicators, because even if you have a great indicator, what do you do with that indicator?
When it says buy, do you go ahead and delay your buying decision? Do you go ahead and buy in front of your buying decision, so do you front-run the indicator? How do you start handling it emotionally when the signal is about to fire off or does fire off? 
Even if you have a great indicator, what I find often in the real world is what works really well for trader number one doesn’t necessarily work well for trader number two. 
A lot of that is personality, personality style, and also kind of their mindset, their emotional state. 
What I believe is…I’m a firm believer that the “Holy Grail,” in many ways, is within a trader, their mindset.
I often talk about different mindsets that I believe to be adverse for most traders. What happens is—and I had recently a real life example of another reason not to go ahead and rely strictly on indicators, but focus on price action, support/resistance, and mindset as well—I recently had a situation where a permissioning server that I was trading through went ahead and went down, so all the indicators that I had that were permissioned on that server all went down, so effectively I had support/resistance levels, price action, and a volume indicator, basically, a volume indication. 
So I was back to the basics. No fancy indicators, no custom indicators, no proprietary “Holy Grails,” just Rob Hoffman’s support/resistance and price action. That trade worked out very well for me. 
The point is, though, regardless of how it worked out, I had to get back to the basics, and if I was really only focused on indicator trading, I would have been paralyzed. What do I do, my indicators aren’t there, I guess I’m going to have to shut down the computer for the day? 
Also, indicators are very well known or giving false signals. Even the best indicators will occasionally give you a false signal.

How do you, or how in tune are you with the market to tell you at a particular time, you know, the indicator says buy or sell, but something just doesn’t seem right here. I’m not feeling it in the price action; something’s off, something’s not right. I think I’m going to abstain from taking this particular trade, so still being in tune with price action, volumes, support/resistance, I think, are really important.

Minggu, 01 Februari 2015

5 Ways to Win More Often Trading Forex

Currency traders who are struggling to find their way or suffering too many losses can try these five steps to turn their trading around, saysJohnathon Fox of DailyForex.com and Forex School Online.
For many forex traders (or any type of trader, for that matter), long gone are the hopes of making millions of dollars overnight, and all they wish to do now is stop losing money and begin to turn their trading accounts around. There are many mistakes that traders make that contribute to getting themselves into this situation, and this article is going to cover the top five things traders can do to turn their accounts and performance around!
Pick a Trading Method and Perfect It
Traders who come to forex in most cases are looking to make a lot of money and do so very fast. To achieve this, they begin to chase the "Holy Grail" that will make them all their riches. Instead of looking for a method that will give them gradual success, they search for the latest fancy indicator that will do all the work for them. I am here to tell you that we all would be rich if this were possible!
If you are serious about making money in the forex markets, it is time you get rid of this mentality and settled into learning a method that you can use for the long term.
One method that can be used to trade the markets successfully is price action trading, which has been around for a long time and will be around for a long time to come. Price action trading will not stop working every time the market dynamics change.
Price action trading involves learning to read the raw price on a chart and focusing on high-probability price patterns that repeat themselves. Price action is a very simple method that most traders can get their heads around with a little help and the correct education.
Once a trader has picked the method that best suits their trading style, they need to give up on the idea of the "Holy Grail" and begin perfecting their chosen trading method. Chopping and changing trading methods only leads to confusion and frustration.
The only way to perfect your chosen trading method is to commit to it, and practice until you have perfected it!
Learn to Trade on Higher Time Frames
Many traders have the misconception that the lower the time-frame chart, the more chances they have to make trades, and thus, make money. While it is true that traders will get more signals on lower-time-frame charts, it is also true the lower the time frame, the more false signals there are and the harder it becomes to make money.
Traders can begin to turn their trading around by taking just this point on alone! The higher-time-frame charts are where most trading should be done for beginning traders.
One of the best reasons the daily chart is a lot more powerful than a lower-time-frame chart such as the one-hour chart is because of the time that goes into making the signals. An example of this is an inside bar.
If we see an inside bar on the one-hour chart, we know that price could not break out of the previous candle's range for one hour. If, however, we see an inside bar on the daily chart, it means price has gone through all trading sessions including the UK and US sessions and has been unable to break out of the previous day's range.
Obviously, a candle with 24 hours worth of information is telling us a lot more than a candle made up of only one hour, and because of this extra time that goes into making the daily chart signals compared to the lower time frames, the signals are much more reliable and powerful.